Biological age predicts cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality

Biological ageing refers to the gradual deterioration of cells and tissues in the body that occurs with age, starting early in adulthood. This process affects bodily functions and increases the risk of both diseases and death. The rate at which biological ageing progresses varies between individuals and is influenced by genetics, lifestyle, and environmental factors.
In the study, the stage of biological ageing was measured using two indicators: a frailty index, which represents the accumulation of health deficits across various bodily systems at the organismal level, and telomere length, which serves as a cellular-level marker. Traditional cardiovascular disease risk indicators were SCORE2, SCORE2-OP, and the Framingham risk score. They consider chronological age, sex, and health or lifestyle factors but not the stage of biological ageing.
Postdoctoral Researcher Anna Tirkkonen from the Ģֱ and Senior Research Fellow Laura Kananen from Tampere University and the Karolinska Institutet explain the results of the study:
“Our study showed that the frailty index can help to evaluate a person’s cardiovascular disease risk,” Tirkkonen says. “This was seen in three cohorts from Finland and Sweden, comprising over 14,000 individuals without cardiovascular disease history. The finding was observed for people who were older (70+) but also for those who were younger, less than 70 years.”
“We also found that the frailty index alone can reflect the likelihood of developing cardiovascular disease over the next ten years quite accurately,” says Kananen.
“Interestingly, the results for telomere length were different. Telomere length was related to cardiovascular risk less evidently.”
Studies on this topic are rare. The researchers believe their study is the first on the topic using the frailty index and the SCORE2 or SCORE2-OP risk score.
“There has only been one previous study addressing this issue with the frailty index and the Framingham risk score, and our findings are consistent with those results,” says Tirkkonen.
The researchers think that biological age should be considered in cardiovascular disease risk tools.
“Based on our findings, a frailty index that reflects the gradual accumulation of age-related health deficits and represents comprehensively the health, functioning, and overall well-being seems to be a particularly effective indicator for this purpose,” Kananen says. “It is also easy to measure. It can be derived, for example, from a relatively simple questionnaire.”
Research publication:
Anna Tirkkonen, Jonathan K. L. Mak, Johan G. Eriksson, Pauliina Halonen, Juulia Jylhävä, Sara Hägg, Linda Enroth, Jani Raitanen, Iiris Hovatta, Tuija Jääskeläinen, Seppo Koskinen, Markus J. Haapanen, Mikaela B. von Bonsdorff, Laura Kananen. Predicting cardiovascular morbidity and mortality with SCORE2 (OP) and Framingham risk estimates in combination with indicators of biological ageing, Age and Ageing, Volume 54, Issue 4, April 2025, afaf075.
More information:
Laura Kananen, Docent of Gerontology, Senior Research Fellow
laura.kananen@tuni.fi
Anna Tirkkonen, Postdoctoral Researcher
+358 40 805 4855
anna.a-k.tirkkonen@jyu.fi